News, analysis and scouting reports of San Diego Padres Prospects
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The 2012 MLB Draft is officially upon us and the Padres are in prime position to add to their already deep farm system with six picks in the first 100 selections.  Unfortunately, this year’s draft is not nearly as deep as last year’s when the Padres were able to add Cory Spangenberg, Joe Ross and Austin Hedges to the fold, but there are still plenty of talented players available.

Chase has already looked at a few potential Padres picks (here, here and here), so today we’re going to take a closer look at the Padres’ likely draft strategy to try and narrow down the possible scenarios.

San Diego’s drafting style has done a complete turn around in the last few years as Jaron Madison and his team were able to change processes to better focus on finding the best talent available and get as many looks as possible at that talent.  This has led to a change in the type of players the Padres have elected to target in recent years, which was as evident as ever in last year’s draft.

It has all been done in a concentrated effort to avoid continuing the drafting style that found one productive Major Leaguer in almost two decades.  Even members of the front office are willing to admit that the process in 2009 – when many of them were around – that led to the selection of star-athlete Donavan Tate and his eventual $6 million bonus was poorly executed without even considering what he has done on the field since that day.  Needless to say, changes were necessary. Continue reading “2012 MLB Draft: Padres Strategy, Draft Board, Predictions” »

With the draft just about here, I wanted to review a few mock drafts from some of the industry’s most respected publications to see the possible selections that San Diego could be making with the 7thoverall pick.  With the new MLB Collective Bargaining Agreement in place and no real industry consensus picks at the top of the draft, anything is possible for the Padres at #7, making this one of the most exciting picks for San Diego in recent memory. Below you will see a breakdown of what we see as the best case, most likely, and most interesting scenarios the Padres could be encountering in the first round.

Best Case Scenario: Carlos Correa, SS

Mock Draft: Baseball America’s Mock Draft 3.0

Published On: June 1, 2012

Though Baseball America’s mock draft published on Monday will likely be the most accurate version we’ll see, Padres fans have to be encouraged by this prognostication made by one of the most respected prospect publications in the industry.  Of course, due to the fact that Correa has gotten some serious helium over the last few weeks, it seems that the outcome predicted in this so-called best case scenario is also the most unlikely for San Diego. Continue reading “Padres MLB Draft Mock Review” »

Nick Williams – OF

What to Love: Nick Williams is yet another strong and dynamic outfielder out of the state of Texas.  Equipped with some top-notch tools, including plus-plus speed and impressive arm-strength, Williams has everything he needs to become a defensive force in centerfield, where many project him to remain during his professional career.  Included in Williams’ toolbox is some intriguing hitting ability, especially to the opposite field, and considerable power potential.  Though he won’t ever hit 40 home runs, doubt digit bombs should be well within reach for Williams in the future.  Williams’ speed also makes him a threat on the base paths, giving the Texan future 15-15 potential down the road if things break right.  For what it’s worth, Williams also plays the game with a great attitude and always seems to have a smile on his face on the field, evoking makeup comparisons to a young Ken Griffey, Jr. Continue reading “2012 MLB Draft Scouting Reports: Nick Williams, Stryker Trahan, Ty Buttrey” »

Carlos Correa – SS

What to Love:  When Jeff and I visited the practice field preceding the Perfect Game All-American Game last summer, there was one player that we agreed was the most impressive prospect of the bunch.  His name: Carlos Correa.  It’s not often you see a shortstop with a refined line drive approach, strong defensive skills and enough power potential to raise an eyebrow, yet that’s exactly what Correa represents.  This native of Puerto Rico may be the most impressive high school position prospect this side of Byron Buxton.  Though just about every tool in his game is impressive, it’s Correa’s bat that makes him special.  Correa takes a very direct route to the ball, using his quick hands to stroke liners all over the field.  He’s not an uber power prospect by any means, but Correa’s power with wood is already materializing and there’s plenty more to dream on for the future.  Correa’s actions in the infield are excellent and are only outdone by his arm-strength, allowing him to have tremendous defensive upside no matter what position he ends up at. Continue reading “2012 MLB Draft Scouting Reports: Carlos Correa, Gavin Cecchini, Courtney Hawkins” »

Lucas Giolito – RHP

What to Love:  We’ll start this series with one of the biggest high school pitching prospects in this year’s draft: Lucas Giolito.  This Southern California native combines a great frame and a fluid delivery with some of the best stuff in the draft class, including a fastball that has touched 100 MPH, a strong power curve and a changeup that has shown potential.  At 6’6 220 lbs, Giolito will be able to add some weight to his somewhat wiry frame, which should allow him to add velocity to his already impressive arsenal.  Giolito has also been able to leverage his size and his over-the-top delivery to create tremendous downhill plane on his pitches, leaving scouts seeing plenty of strikeouts and groundballs in his future.  Needless to say, this right-hander has seemingly limitless potential.

What to Loath:  There has only been one wart on Giolito’s scouting report, and it’s a big one: injury risk.  After some monster early showcase performances (including one at the 2011 Area Code games, where the exclusive video below was filmed), Giolito went down with a sprained ulnar collateral ligament and did not throw another pitch during the remainder of the high school season.  While no surgery will be required in his recovery, any potential damage to the UCL in a pitcher’s throwing elbow will understandably be cause for serious concern.  With a commitment to UCLA, Giolito also has the leverage of a strong college program to bring to the negotiating table.  The right-hander could forego a professional career for another three years if the opportunity to prove his health and get a quality education are worth more to him than the contract he’s offered out of high school. Continue reading “2012 MLB Draft Scouting Reports: Lucas Giolito, Max Fried, Joey Gallo” »

Star Performer:

Jedd Gyorko, INF (Double-A San Antonio) – After an abysmal start to the season Gyorko has been on fire since April 26th hitting .351 with two home runs and two doubles.  He’s also logged 11 games through Thursday at second base for San Antonio and initial reports have been encouraging.  Gyorko has assisted in turning four double plays while committing just one error.  While errors don’t tell the whole story, evaluators have been encouraged by Gyorko’s ability to make most standard plays at second, yet doubt still lingers he can make the tougher plays necessary to stick at the position in the big leagues.  Even if Gyorko is able to stick at second for the next few years it seems clear he’ll be moved off second as his body continues to mature. Continue reading “Padres Prospect Rap Sheet: May 4, 2012” »

Stats for High-A hitters are as of play Wednesday.

Star Performer:

Adys Portillo, RHP (Low-A Fort Wayne) – Walks are still a constant struggle for Portillo with 12 already in just 20.1 innings pitched, but his other peripherals have been much better.  So far he’s only allowed nine hits and a single homerun.  TinCap coaches have been encouraging Portillo to just let his fastball rip right down the middle of the zone so his approach will need some refinement before he’s able to really take off.

Rock Steady:

Frank Garces, LHP (Low-A Fort Wayne) – Garces has been on a tear since opening the season for the TinCaps.  In his Saturday start Garces went eight strong innings while allowing just six base runners and threw five solid innings on Thursday.  The 5’11” lefty has a devastating curveball when he’s on, but with his inconsistent control things can get ugly fast. Continue reading “Padres Prospect Rap Sheet: April 27, 2012” »

It had been a great year so far for Casey Kelly prior to Monday.  In his first two career Triple A starts Kelly had gone 12 innings while allowing just three runs and striking out 14 batters.  In addition, the sinker specialist has managed to hold a 1.63 ground-ball-to-fly-ball rate in the hitter-friendly Pacific Coast League through his first two starts.  A small sample to be sure, but extremely encouraging results for a guy who underwent delivery changes just two months prior.

On Monday, Kelly was scratched from his scheduled start due to what the team called “elbow discomfort.”  In the time since then GM Josh Byrnes has revealed that Kelly complained of elbow soreness after his last start, which caused the team to take an extremely cautious approach.

That cautious approach led to an MRI performed by Padres doctors back in San Diego that revealed elbow inflammation that would place Kelly on the disabled list for the next few weeks. Continue reading “Casey Kelly Injury Update” »

Star Performer:

Rico Noel, CF (High-A Lake Elsinore)Noel’s production this season has to be a very pleasant surprise to the Padres after tasking him with learning how to switch hit this last offseason.  He was 12-for-32 heading into Monday’s game with seven steals in as many attempts and hitting a robust .370 against righties in 27 at bats.  Noel is never going to be a big power guy, but with his speed and contact skills you’d like to see a few more extra-base hits.  With an insane 91.5% career steal rate even if Noel is limited to singles you’re almost guaranteed to see him on second soon enough.

Rock Steady:

Jace Peterson, SS (Low-A Fort Wayne) – It’s been a great stretch for Peterson so far hitting leadoff for the TinCaps.  With three doubles, a triple and a homerun Peterson has shown a strong bat to go with his three steals.  Defensive production is still a concern as he continues to show plus tools in his arm and glove, but at this point he hasn’t been able to put them together.

Casey Kelly, RHP (Triple-A Tucson) – Kelly’s season was off to a fantastic start – 2.25 ERA in 12 innings pitched – before news came down before his start on Monday that he was headed to the 7-day disabled list with a sore elbow.  At last check there was no definitive word on exactly what plagued Kelly or a firm time table. Continue reading “Padres Prospect Rap Sheet: April 17, 2012” »

This is the third installment of our 2012 Spring Training Notebook, which chronicles time spent on the backfields in Arizona watching Padres prospects.  Check back for more notes and observations on top players and batting practice, game and bullpen videos still to come.

Joe Ross – Ross has been the talk of spring so far among scouts and coaches.  Everyone who has worked with him is quick to point out his fantastic makeup and excellent rapport with the coaching staff and his teammates – one reason why the Padres weren’t hesitant to send Ross directly to the Midwest League to start his career.

His fastball has sat comfortably in the 93-95 range, topping out at 96 in each outing.  He’s got great feel for both his 12-to-6 curveball and fading changeup, throwing both for strikes to right and left-handed batters.

Ross’ delivery is very smooth and his arm action is clean.  He has more than enough athleticism to repeat his delivery over extended outings and already commands his pitches well.

Padres coaches were working with Ross to extend out the release point on his curveball to give it more bite during a bullpen session as he has a tendency to throw it more for called strikes than a swinging out pitch.

Ross has a well-proportioned frame that should allow him to draw more strength in his leg drive as he matures, removing any unnecessary stress from his arm. Continue reading “2012 Spring Training Notes: Ross, Wisler, Barbato, Jackson, Paz, De Paula, Reyes, Hebner” »