This is a list of the best prospects in the Padres’ organization. To be eligible for this list a player must be currently in the minors or temporarily filling a roster spot on the Major League club. Prospects are ranked both by their ultimate potential and the likelihood that they will reach that potential. Estimated Time of Arrival, ETA, for each prospect is when they would reach the majors if they are able to reach their potential. If you disagree with a ranking or an evaluation that is fine. You could ask 10 experts to submit a list of top prospects and no two would be the same. Disparity among the evaluations is what makes them interesting!
If you have any questions or comments about the list, send Jeff a message.
1) Keyvius Sampson – Sampson had the most dominant season of any starting-pitching prospect in the Padres’ system. In his age-20 season, Sampson struck out just under 11 batters per nine while allowing just 81 hits in 118 innings pitched. The control still needs fine tuning – 3.7 BB/9 – but with the amount of production he is providing at such a young age you’ll take a rough area to his game. ETA: Late 2013
2) Rymer Liriano – If Liriano played center field he would be considered a legit five-tool future star. With 20/20 projections placed on his power and speed combined with a plus arm and a hit tool that grades out to at least average, Liriano provides the Padres with a right fielder of the future to dream on. ETA: Late 2014/Early 2015
3) Robbie Erlin – A 1.38 ERA and 10.7 K/9 rate in 26 innings after joining the Padres’ organization showed what Erlin is capable of accomplishing when left alone to pitch. He made 16 starts – and 17 appearances – in Double-A this season, but likely will be assigned to San Antonio in 2012 because of the hitting environment in Tucson. ETA: Late 2012
4) Austin Hedges – Hedges is the crown jewel of the Padres’ 2011 draft class that cost the organization a cool $11,020,600. While most see him as a defense-first catcher with a passable bat, Hedges has the ability to be much more than that if given the time to develop. Catchers with an All Star ceiling don’t come around too often so expect the Padres to put a lot of time into Hedges. ETA: Late 2014/Early 2015
5) Casey Kelly – Many are quick to judge that 2011 was a disappointing year for Kelly. While the home/road splits are concerning, when you dive deeper you see that luck can go a long way in explaining why his box score numbers don’t look great: (BABIP – HR/FB – K/BB – FIP) Home – .269 – 7.3% – 2.25 – 3.68 Road .378 – 7.7% – 2.31 – 3.52. ETA: 2013 Continue reading “Top 25 Padres Prospects – Post Season 2011” »